Real Option Analysis for Deep-sea Mineral Resources Development in Japanese Waters
-
- Kohama Makoto
- Graduate School of Creative Science and Engineering, Waseda University
-
- Adachi Tsuyoshi
- International Center for Research and Education on Mineral and Energy Resources, Akita
-
- Tokoro Chiharu
- Faculty of Science and Engineering, Waseda University
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
-
- 日本近海における海底熱水鉱床開発のリアルオプション分析
- ニホン キンカイ ニ オケル カイテイ ネッスイ コウショウ カイハツ ノ リアルオプション ブンセキ
Search this article
Abstract
Deep-sea minerals extraction has been attracted as domestic resources of Japan from the viewpoint of resources security. This study investigates feasibility evaluation with uncertainties for deep-sea mineral resources development project using real option analysis. Resources development has a lot of unique uncertainties. We propose multi-investments (compound option) model considering volatility of metal prices and ore deposit scale. Results from this model imply high option value at a case study of Sunrise ore deposit in Japanese EEZ, and show marginal investment prices and marginal cost to abandon the project by comparative statics. Furthermore, considering historical trend of metal prices, different types of stochastic process i.e. mean reverting process and geometric brownian motion are compared.
Journal
-
- Journal of Real Options and Strategy
-
Journal of Real Options and Strategy 4 (1), 101-116, 2011
The Japan Association of Real Options and Strategy
- Tweet
Details 詳細情報について
-
- CRID
- 1390282680294600192
-
- NII Article ID
- 130000670603
-
- NII Book ID
- AA12351380
-
- ISSN
- 18841635
- 18815774
-
- NDL BIB ID
- 11025721
-
- Text Lang
- en
-
- Data Source
-
- JaLC
- NDL
- Crossref
- CiNii Articles
-
- Abstract License Flag
- Disallowed