Multi-Model Ensemble Projection of Future Tropical Cyclone Characteristics due to Global Climate Change
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- MORI Nobuhito
- Kyoto University
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- Murakami Hiroyuki
- University of Hawaii
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- SHIMURA Tomoya
- Kyoto University
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- NAKAJO Sota
- Kumamoto University
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- YASUDA Tomohiro
- Kyoto University
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- MASE Hajime
- Kyoto University
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
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- マルチモデルアンサンブルによる気候変動に伴う熱帯低気圧特性の将来変化予測
- マルチモデルアンサンブル ニ ヨル キコウ ヘンドウ ニ トモナウ ネッタイ テイキアツ トクセイ ノ ショウライ ヘンカ ヨソク
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Abstract
Future change of tropical cyclone (TC) climatology is discussed by GCM ensemble runs. With GCMs, large degrees of uncertainty exist in future change in TC climatology at basin scale, and central pressure changes for each basin. The projection of future change of TC characteristics was conducted based on a series of ensemble experiments by the high-resolution AGCMs. The model ensemble means and their standard deviations of cyclogenesis and cycloysis are disucssed in detail. The future change of location and intensity of TC are analyzed with synoptic climate.
Journal
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- Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)
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Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 68 (2), I_1251-I_1255, 2012
Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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Details 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390282680296033152
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- NII Article ID
- 40019514335
- 130004550696
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- NII Book ID
- AA12508551
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- ISSN
- 18838944
- 18842399
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- NDL BIB ID
- 024138535
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- Text Lang
- ja
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- Data Source
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- JaLC
- NDL
- Crossref
- CiNii Articles
- KAKEN
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- Abstract License Flag
- Disallowed