STATISTICAL MODELING OF GLOBAL WAVE HEIGHT AND ITS APPLICATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION

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  • 全球の統計的波高推定手法の開発と将来変化予測への応用
  • ゼン ダマ ノ トウケイテキハ コウスイテイ シュホウ ノ カイハツ ト ショウライ ヘンカ ヨソク エ ノ オウヨウ

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Abstract

 A statistical model of global wave height analysis was developed based on the JRA-55 reanalysis data and applied to future projections of wave climate change under several future scenarios. Mean and extreme wave heights were estimated globally using the statistical wave model. The estimated mean wave heights in future climates show increase in the Northwestern Pacific and decrease in the Northestern Pacific, middle latitude and around the equator. The estimated extreme wave heights in future climates shows different trends from mean one depending on the future greenhouse gas emission scenarios.

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