SIMULATION OF DAILY MAXIMUM WIND SPEED USING MEAN-REVERTING ORNSTEIN-UHLENBECK PROCESS

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  • 平均回帰Ornstein-Uhlenbeck過程による日最大風速の模擬データの作成

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 A simple method to simulate time histories of daily maximum wind speed is presented, in which the mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is incorporated. The data observed at a meteorological station in the past are analyzed to clarify the statistical nature of the daily maximum wind speed at the site, and to obtain the values for parameters in the method. Trials are conducted to investigate the characteristics of the method, and the time histories simulated for the daily maximum wind speed in the year of 2014 are compared with the observation data. It is shown that the simulated ones are mostly similar to the observed one whilst in some cases the simulated ones differ from the observed one in time domain as well as in statistics.

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