水温の将来変化がアユの遡上時期に及ぼす影響について

書誌事項

タイトル別名
  • IMPACT OF FUTURE CHANGES IN WATER TEMPERATURE ON THE UPSTREAM MIGRATION TIMING OF SWEETFISH
  • スイオン ノ ショウライ ヘンカ ガ アユ ノ ソジョウ ジキ ニ オヨボス エイキョウ ニ ツイテ

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In this study, climate change impact of future water temperature on the fishery resources was considered. Future water temperature changes of Kiso River and Ise Bay were calculated by coupled river-ocean model under the CMIP3 A1B scenario. Water temperature increase of Kiso River was about 3 degrees, and sea surface temperature increase of Ise Bay was about 2 degrees. Coastal areas were more strongly influenced.<br>By the analysis of observed data, the upstream migration timing of sweetfish was negatively correlated with water temperature difference (sea – river). Calculated future water temperature difference was smaller than that of present, which resulted in earlier start of the upstream migration of sweetfish.

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