A METHODOLOGY TO ANALYZE THE GLOBAL IMPACT DUE TO THE MALFUNCTION OF INTERNATIONAL PORTS: SPATIAL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH

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  • 港湾の機能停止の国際経済への影響分析手法:空間的応用一般均衡アプローチ
  • コウワン ノ キノウ テイシ ノ コクサイ ケイザイ エ ノ エイキョウ ブンセキ シュホウ : クウカンテキ オウヨウ イッパン キンコウ アプローチ

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Abstract

This paper develops a methodology to analyze the global impact due to the malfunction of the critical infrastructure, especially ports. The model consists of an international SCGE model and intra-regional overland transportation network model. As a case study, the impact due to the malfunction of port of Nagoya is estimated. It is revealed that the production of goods in Japan decreases in most sectors. However, the economical damage strikes not only the affected country but also other countries especially those which have close ties with Japan. Moreover, it results in the change of world trading network and also the shift of productive factors from the affected country to other countries.

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