Safety Assessment of Oceanic Composite Separation Routes by Collision Risk-Part IV : Diagonal Collision Risk of NOPAC Composite Separation Routes

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  • 衝突危険度による洋上複合間隔ルートの安全性評価-IV : NOPACルートの対角線方向の衝突危険度
  • 衝突危険度による洋上複合間隔ルートの安全性評価-4-NOPACルートの対角線方向の衝突危険度〔含 質疑応答〕
  • ショウトツ キケンド ニヨル ヨウジョウ フクゴウカンカク ルート ノ アンゼ

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Abstract

This paper deals with the method and results of a collision risk analysis for the north pacific (NOPAC) composite air route system. A collision risk due to loss of composite separation (diagonal collision risk) is estimated using model parameters estimated from various empirical data mainly obtained in the air route system. The estimated diagonal collision risk for the NOPAC routes is 4×10^<-13> [accidents/flight hour]. This diagonal collision risk is negligible compared with other collision risks such as longitudinal, lateral and vertical collision risk.

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