ON THE POPULATION ESTIMATION METHOD AND THE MEASURE HOW TO CONTROL THE POPULATION CHANGES IN THE HOUSING ESTATES. (Part 2.)

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  • 公的集合住宅地における人口変動の推計方法と人口計画の可能性について (その 2)
  • 公的集合住宅地における人口変動の推計方法と人口計画の可能性について-2-
  • コウテキ シュウゴウ ジュウタクチ ニ オケル ジンコウ ヘンドウ ノ スイケ

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Abstract

In the proceeding report (Part 1.) the author derived the method which can accurately estimate the population change by every year interval and by every year age group. And in this report the author attempted to indicate an effective planning technique which can control the population changes in the housing estates through the practical simulation by this method. In order to examine the population changes, the yearly change of the number of pupils was taken for example, that is to say, the measure how to reduce the number of pupils in the housing estates was investigated. Summary of results are as follows; 1) The family-types composition of newcomers includes more younger family-types, the number of pupils at the peak point in its yearly change comes to more numerous. 2) The remaining ratio in the housing estate is higher, the number of pupils at the peak point comes to more numerous.

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