PREDICTION OF DETERIORATION OF BRIDGE STRUCTURES BASED ON ACTUAL INSPECTION DATA

  • KAITO Kiyoyuki
    社団法人 土木学会 株式会社BMC
  • ABE Makoto
    社団法人 土木学会 株式会社BMC
  • FUJINO Yozo
    社団法人 土木学会 東京大学 大学院工学系研究科社会基盤工学専攻

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Other Title
  • 実測データに基づく構造物の劣化予測
  • ジッソク データ ニ モトヅク コウゾウブツ ノ レッカ ヨソク

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This paper proposes deterioration prediction methods based upon actual inspection data in order to carry out strategic maintenance and to rationalize life cycle cost analysis. Firstly, using deterioration rates, the methodology of predicting the deterioration is discussed to model the averaged deterioration of structures. In the second place, for the prediction of the individual structure, a probabilistic approach using the distribution of deterioration rates and its own historical inspection data is proposed. The validity of these methods is verified through the actual visual inspection data of bridges.

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