2008年危機の性格 : 原理的および進化論的蓄積理論による解析(<特集>21世紀型世界恐慌と恐慌論研究の課題)

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タイトル別名
  • Analysis with General and Evolutionary Accumulation Theory on 2008 Crisis(<SPECIAL ISSUE>World Economic Crisis of 21 Century and New Problem of Economic Crisis Theory)
  • 2008年危機の性格--原理的および進化論的蓄積理論による解析
  • 2008ネン キキ ノ セイカク ゲンリテキ オヨビ シンカロンテキ チクセキ リロン ニ ヨル カイセキ

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抄録

The crisis that has happened on 2008, so called like "Sub-prime Loan Crisis", must be caused by some general and special factors. We could use the theory on capital accumulation that changes in investment and consumption bring about business cycles for analyzing the present crisis. In this case, we should consider about that the factors to decide supply-demand relation of social reproduction are different among the different systems, a closed system and an open system, or a non-imperialism and a imperialism, or Bretton Woods and globalized economy. The world system of the imperialism, they supplemented demand by getting new colonies and territories, dumping exchange rate, increasing customs and the bilateral trade treaty. After the Great Depression and the war, they had built the Bretton Woods system and adapted Keynesian-Social Democrat policies. Keynes insisted that "Socialization of Investment" and "National Self-sufficient". These policies would supplement demand by fiscal policy and keep well export and import balance. But U. S. seceded from this system on 1971 for that they could keep the dollar seigniorage and revive the competitiveness. After that, every country worried about stagflation. Then, new discourse has risen to predominance, and the globalization has developed. This means that a reversal in the supply and demand would happen in the globalized world economy. Though, the present crisis is one of the crisis of capitalism, it has occurred in globalized capitalism without preventing system like Bretton Woods. Booms always happened with speculations, of which forms and contents were different. What is worse, they have weakened Keynesian-Social Democrat policies. We should learn lessons from the experiences of the imperialism, Bretton Woods, the state socialism and globalization for more stable world under the environmental restriction.

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