APPLICATION OF GMDH-BASED ONE WEEK WAVE PREDICTION MODEL TO JAPANESE NEAR SHORE WAVE PREDICTION

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  • 全球波浪予報値とGMDHを用いる日本沿岸1週間先波浪予測法の適用性

Abstract

<p> GMDH-based one week wave prediction models are developed using three data sets of global wave forecast models, JMA GWM, NOAA WW3 and ECMWF ERA5, and applied to four stations on the Japanese coast. As a result of the application to four stations, it was found that the one week wave prediction model improves the accuracty of the predicted significant wave height and period. In addition, the best performing set, among the four potential data sets, was found to be a combination consisting of three global wave forecast sets. The study showed that the GMD-based one week wave prediction model is affected by specific global wave forecast data.</p>

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