Potential Demand Analysis for Revitalization of Local City Railway

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  • 地方都市鉄道活性化のための潜在需要分析
  • チホウ トシ テツドウ カッセイカ ノ タメ ノ センザイ ジュヨウ ブンセキ

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Abstract

<p>THIS PAPER AIMS TO PROPOSE THE DIRECTION FOR THE REVITALIZATION OF LOCAL CITY RAILWAY WHICH IS NOW IN CRITICAL SITUATION, AND ALSO TO PRESENT AN ANALITICAL APPROACH TO SEARCH THE POSSIBILITY AND ITS OPTIONS OF POTENTIAL DEMAND ABSORPTION TO RAIL. FIRSTLY, THE RAIL USER'S NEEDS FOR VARIOUS SERVICE IMPROVEMENT OPTIONS ARE GRASPED BY PARED COMPARISON. SECONDLY, DEPENDENCE ON RAIL IS INVESTIGATED BASED ON THE FREQUENCY OF RAIL USE, AND POTENTIAL DEMAND CATEGORY AS A TARGET FOR REVITALIZATION IS SPECIFIED. AND THEN, BINARY LOGIT MODEL IS BUILT BY USING SP DATA TO REPRESENT THE MODAL CHOICE BETWEEN RAIL AND CAR ON SUPPOSED NON-DAIRY TRAVEL BEHAVIOR. THE RESULT FROM MODEL ESTIMATION SHOWS THAT NON-TRANSPORT SERVICE ITEM SUCH AS STATION FACILITY IMPROVEMENT AS WELL AS TRANSPOT SERVICE ITEMS ARE ALSO EFFECTIVE TO ABSORB THE POTENTIAL DEMAND.</p>

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