Consideration of the Fourth Epidemic Wave and Suppression Effect by Vaccination in COVID-19
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- Namiki Masao
- Japan Environment and Disaster Prevention Inc.
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- Yano Ryosuke
- Tokio Marine dR Co. ltd.
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
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- 新型コロナウイルス感染症第4波とワクチンの感染抑制効果に関する考察
Abstract
<p>Abstract. We extend Odagaki’s SIQR model to simulate or predict the time evolution of successive epidemic waves of the COVID-19. In order to investigate the time evolution of the epidemic wave after the 3rd wave in Japan, we perform simulation of the epidemic spread in primary cities using our model. Additionally, we extend our model to include the effects of the vaccination. Finally, we evaluate the effects of the vaccination on the basis of data in UK, which starts vaccinations, and investigate the effects of the vaccination, quantitatively.</p>
Journal
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- Transactions of the Japan Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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Transactions of the Japan Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics 31 (3), 133-159, 2021
The Japan Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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Details 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390289532559863424
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- NII Article ID
- 130008091987
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- ISSN
- 24240982
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- Text Lang
- ja
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- Data Source
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- JaLC
- CiNii Articles
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- Abstract License Flag
- Disallowed