Future projection of Lake Biwa surface level based on the 150 years seamless run

DOI

Bibliographic Information

Other Title
  • 150年連続ランによる琵琶湖水位の将来予測

Abstract

<p>The effect of climate change is also a concern in the field of water resources. Lake Biwa surface level (BSL) is one of the indicators of drought conditions in the Yodo River basin. In this research, we create a terrestrial water circulation model to calculate BSL and predict BSL under the future climate of the MRI-AGCM3.2S 150 years seamless run. Then, the results show that the frequency of BSL falling below the guideline for restriction on water intake increases from the second half of the 21st century, with the frequency increasing to 14 years out of 30 years at the end of the 21st century, compared to 3 years at the beginning of the 21st century. This is due to increased evapotranspiration and prolonged periods of low precipitation trends, although annual precipitation doesn’t decrease.</p>

Journal

Keywords

Details 詳細情報について

  • CRID
    1390294496035673600
  • DOI
    10.11520/jshwr.35.0_107
  • Text Lang
    ja
  • Data Source
    • JaLC
  • Abstract License Flag
    Disallowed

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