The Importance of Dynamical Downscaling for Explanations of High Temperature Rises in Winter
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- Sasaki Hidetaka
- National Institute for Environmental Studies
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- Ishizaki Noriko N.
- National Institute for Environmental Studies
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- Murata Akihiko
- Meteorological Research Institute
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- Kawase Hiroaki
- Meteorological Research Institute
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- Nosaka Masaya
- Meteorological Research Institute
抄録
<p>The surface temperature was projected to increase from 4 to 5°C in most regions around Japan in winter at the end of the 21st century, according to the Non-Hydrostatic Regional Climate Model (NHRCM) under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario. The melting of sea ice in the Sea of Okhotsk significantly affected the temperature around Hokkaido Prefecture, raising it by more than 8°C in some places. The temperature also rose by more than 8°C in some areas in Honshu where the atmosphere was not susceptible to sea ice. The reduction in snow-covered areas due to global warming raised the temperature further and induced changes in local wind, such as airflows over mountains and wind blowing from the sea. These changes raised the seasonal average temperature and caused the temperature to rise by over 8°C. The dynamical downscaling method played a significant role in projecting such small-scale features in the future climate.</p>
収録刊行物
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- SOLA
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SOLA 19 (0), 9-15, 2023
公益社団法人 日本気象学会
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詳細情報 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390294740098243840
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- ISSN
- 13496476
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- 本文言語コード
- ja
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- データソース種別
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- JaLC
- Crossref
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- 抄録ライセンスフラグ
- 使用不可