ESTIMATION OF TRANSPORTATION ROUTE AND COST DUE TO THE BLOCAGE OF CENTRAL NAVIGATION CHANNEL OF TOKYO BAY

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  • 東京湾中央航路閉塞時の代替輸送による輸送コスト増加額の推定

Abstract

<p> The Suez Canal blockage in 2021 highlighted uncertainties and business risks of the recent international maritime transportation including those caused by cyber-attacks on various maritime systems. The Tokyo Bay Central Access Channel is a vital gateway to Tokyo bay area ports which maintain the production activities and the people’s lives in the Kanto region.</p><p> This study, by focusing international container trade and domestic unit load cargo transportation, searches an alternative transportation route and estimates the generalized cost involved when serous blockage should happen at the Tokyo Bay Central Access Channel. It is concluded that more than 70% of the foreign containers to/from the Kanto region needs to be detoured through port of Sendai-Shiogama and Ise-Bay area ports, which are requested to accommodate the number of containers to their capacity limits, and the transportation cost increases by about 2.93billion yen/day (32 percent).</p>

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