93. Analysis on Diversity of Power System Operation with Using Meso-scale Ensemble Prediction System
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- YAMAZAKI Tomohide
- Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation
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- TOYOSHIMA Ichiro
- Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation
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- INUZUKA Naoya
- Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation
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- KATO Daiki
- Waseda University
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- MORI Yusuke
- Waseda University
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- WAKAO Shinji
- Waseda University
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
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- 93. メソアンサンブル予報による基幹系統運用のダイバーシティの分析
Abstract
<p>Recently, an electric power system is operated based on a prediction value of photovoltaic systems. However, as the prediction value contains errors, it is important to control the power system adequately with considering the uncertainty of the prediction.</p><p>In this paper, we estimate the PV output of the eastern Japanese power system based on the prediction value of solar irradiance. The solar irradiance is predicted by Meso-scale Ensemble Prediction System (MEPS) that is a numerical weather prediction delivered by Japan Meteorological Agency. MEPS calculates 21 predictions with considering the uncertainties. We run 21 optimal power flow and analyze the optimized results such as the active power flow of transmission lines.</p>
Journal
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- Proceedings of JSES conference
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Proceedings of JSES conference 2022 (0), 317-320, 2022-11-10
Japan Solar Energy Society
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Details 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390297969551928576
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- ISSN
- 2758478X
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- Text Lang
- ja
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- Data Source
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- JaLC
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- Abstract License Flag
- Allowed