An exploratory survey on a questionnaire about 2026 hinoeuma birth to students

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  • 2026(丙午)年の出生についての学生の意識調査
  • 2026(ヒノエウマ)トシ ノ シュッショウ ニ ツイテ ノ ガクセイ ノ イシキ チョウサ

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Large drops in the number of childbirths and in the ratio of female to male births observed in 1906 and 1966 were caused by the hinoeuma superstition in Japan. The year 2026 is designated as the next hinoeuma year. Students currently around 20 years old will be likely to have babies 8 years from now. Therefore, we conducted a survey of attitudes toward childbirth during a hinoeuma year by an anonymous self‐adminiistered multiple-choice questionnaire, and attempted to predict 2026 vital statistics for childbirth. Recovery rate was quite low at 15.4%, and among male students especially the response rate was only 11%. Around 40% of students knew about the hinoeuma superstition, however, few knew of the origin. Around 80% of students and their parents and relatives did not believe in the hinoeulna supersthion, stating they would do nothing to avoid a hinoeulna birth. If they were to avoid a hinoeuma birth,they would prevent conception,but not have abortions or report false birthdays. Over half of them predicted that the change in vital statistics for childbirth in 2026 will not occur. We,however, do not deny that some changes will occur, because around 20% of students took some notice of the hinoeuma superstition, and a half of female were influenced by partner's or parental intentions, in addition, there is likely to be some influence on this from the further development of reproductive medicines and by media reporting.

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