DEVELOPMENT OF A WIND POWER RAMP FORECAST SYSTEM BY ASTATISTICAL AND METEOROLOGICAL APPROACH
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- Okada Maki
- Japan Weather Association, Japan
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- Ichizawa Tomohiro
- Japan Weather Association, Japan
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- Nakamura Yuko
- Japan Weather Association, Japan
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- Yamaguchi Koji
- Japan Weather Association, Japan
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- Kodama Ryo
- Japan Weather Association, Japan
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- Kato Hisashi
- Nihon University, Japan
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- Nagano Yoshinori
- Nihon University, Japan
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- Ikeda Ryosaku
- University of Tsukuba,Japan
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- Doan Van Q.
- University of Tsukuba,Japan
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- Kusaka Hiroyuki
- University of Tsukuba,Japan
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- Ogasawara Norimitsu
- Japan Weather Association, Japan
説明
A forecast system to predict wind power ramps was developed and applied to evaluate the similarity between sea level pressure (SLP) patterns in global-scale model forecasts and weather patterns associated with abrupt wind speed changes. The settings of the Weather Research and Forecasting model are selected according to the SLP pattern in global-scale model forecast. Wind forecast data are converted to power output, and a principal component analysis of SLP data is used to identify and forecast wind power ramps and to compute ramp probabilities and ramp alerts.
収録刊行物
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- グランド再生可能エネルギー国際会議論文集
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グランド再生可能エネルギー国際会議論文集 1 (0), 130-, 2018
特定非営利活動法人 再生可能エネルギー協議会
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詳細情報 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390564238113688064
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- NII論文ID
- 130007609015
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- ISSN
- 24340871
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- 本文言語コード
- en
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- データソース種別
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- JaLC
- CiNii Articles
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- 抄録ライセンスフラグ
- 使用不可