DEVELOPMENT OF A WIND POWER RAMP FORECAST SYSTEM BY ASTATISTICAL AND METEOROLOGICAL APPROACH
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- Okada Maki
- Japan Weather Association, Japan
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- Ichizawa Tomohiro
- Japan Weather Association, Japan
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- Nakamura Yuko
- Japan Weather Association, Japan
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- Yamaguchi Koji
- Japan Weather Association, Japan
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- Kodama Ryo
- Japan Weather Association, Japan
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- Kato Hisashi
- Nihon University, Japan
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- Nagano Yoshinori
- Nihon University, Japan
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- Ikeda Ryosaku
- University of Tsukuba,Japan
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- Doan Van Q.
- University of Tsukuba,Japan
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- Kusaka Hiroyuki
- University of Tsukuba,Japan
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- Ogasawara Norimitsu
- Japan Weather Association, Japan
Description
A forecast system to predict wind power ramps was developed and applied to evaluate the similarity between sea level pressure (SLP) patterns in global-scale model forecasts and weather patterns associated with abrupt wind speed changes. The settings of the Weather Research and Forecasting model are selected according to the SLP pattern in global-scale model forecast. Wind forecast data are converted to power output, and a principal component analysis of SLP data is used to identify and forecast wind power ramps and to compute ramp probabilities and ramp alerts.
Journal
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- Grand Renewable Energy proceedings
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Grand Renewable Energy proceedings 1 (0), 130-, 2018
Japan Council for Renewable Energy
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Details 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390564238113688064
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- NII Article ID
- 130007609015
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- ISSN
- 24340871
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- Text Lang
- en
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- Data Source
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- JaLC
- CiNii Articles
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- Abstract License Flag
- Disallowed