8 複数予報データを用いた翌日日射予報の大外し低減手法の検討
書誌事項
- タイトル別名
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- 8 Study on a day-ahead solar power forecast reducing serious overestimation with integrating multiple forecast data
抄録
<p>In power systems where large amounts of photovoltaic power generation have been installed, operational planning is based on next-day solar radiation forecasts. In order to realize efficient and stable power system operation, advanced next-day solar radiation forecasting is necessary, and forecasts must not only have average accuracy but also be able to control the risk of rare large outages. In this study, a multiple solar radiation forecast model using ensemble forecast data was constructed by machine learning, and a forecast model that can both improve the average accuracy and suppress the risk of large over-estimation was investigated.</p>
収録刊行物
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- 日本太陽エネルギー学会講演論文集
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日本太陽エネルギー学会講演論文集 2023 (0), 25-28, 2023-11-16
一般社団法人 日本太陽エネルギー学会
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詳細情報 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390580637985065728
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- ISSN
- 2758478X
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- 本文言語コード
- ja
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- データソース種別
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- JaLC
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- 抄録ライセンスフラグ
- 使用可