RETURN PERIOD OF TYPHOON TRACK AND REPRODUCTION OF STORM SURGE FOR HAGIBIS UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE

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  • 2019年台風19号の高潮再現および台風経路の再現期間と将来変化
  • 2019ネン タイフウ 19ゴウ ノ タカシオ サイゲン オヨビ タイフウ ケイロ ノ サイゲン キカン ト ショウライ ヘンカ

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Abstract

<p> Typhoon HAGIBIS caused enormous damage in JAPAN, 2019. The maximun surge height comparable to the typhoon Kitty was observed inTokyo Bay. On the other hand, it is reported that the tropical cyclones will be strengthened and the cource of cyclones will be change. In this study, impact assessment of return period of tropical cyclones on climate change due to changed tropical cyclones has been carried out using d4PDF and GSTM. It was found that the effect of reducing the number of tropical cyclones generated in the Northwestern Pacific greatly affects the long-term return period.</p>

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