Practical Method for Forecasting Amounts of Global Solar Radiation in Wide Area

DOI HANDLE Open Access
  • Nomiyama Fumitoshi
    Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Graduate School of Information Science and Engineering, Kyushu University
  • Asai Joji
    Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Graduate School of Information Science and Engineering, Kyushu University
  • Murakami Takuma
    Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Graduate School of Information Science and Engineering, Kyushu University
  • Takano Hirotaka
    Department of Electrical Engineering, Faculty of Information Science and Electrical Engineering, Kyushu University
  • Murata Junichi
    Department of Electrical Engineering, Faculty of Information Science and Electrical Engineering, Kyushu University

Bibliographic Information

Other Title
  • 広域における全天日射量簡易予測手法

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Abstract

A practical method is proposed for forecasting global solar radiation in a wide area which, in turn, is used for photovoltaic generation output forecast. For ease of forecasting procedure, the area is divided into sub-areas or groups of sites. Sites having similar weather form a group. The similarity is calculated using mean absolute deviations or correlations among the actual sunshine duration data. The forecasting procedure becomes simpler by focusing on a single representative site in each group. In addition, it is found that a common forecasting model can be successfully used for a number of different groups, which saves the operator's workload without deteriorating the forecasting accuracy.

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Details 詳細情報について

  • CRID
    1390853649768289152
  • NII Article ID
    120005306730
  • NII Book ID
    AN10569524
  • DOI
    10.15017/26859
  • ISSN
    21880891
    13423819
  • HANDLE
    2324/26859
  • Text Lang
    ja
  • Data Source
    • JaLC
    • IRDB
    • CiNii Articles
  • Abstract License Flag
    Allowed

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