Quarter-century changes in applicants for the National Center Test and their regional characteristics as the 18-year-old population shrinks

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  • UCHIDA Teruhisa
    Research Division, the National Center for University Entrance Examinations
  • HASHIMOTO Takamitsu
    Research Division, the National Center for University Entrance Examinations
  • SUZUKI Norio
    Research Division, the National Center for University Entrance Examinations

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Other Title
  • 18 歳人口減少期のセンター試験の出願状況の年次推移と地域特性
  • 18歳人口減少期のセンター試験の出願状況の年次推移と地域特性 : 志願者の2層構造化と出願行動の地域特徴
  • 18サイ ジンコウ ゲンショウキ ノ センター シケン ノ シュツガン ジョウキョウ ノ ネンジ スイイ ト チイキ トクセイ : シガンシャ ノ 2ソウ コウゾウカ ト シュツガン コウドウ ノ チイキ トクチョウ
  • Two layers of applicants and characteristics of prefectures
  • ―志願者の2 層構造化と出願行動の地域特徴―

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<p>The National Center Test (NCT) has been affected by the shrinking population of 18-year-olds and the increase in the number of participating private universities in the last quarter of a century. This study analyzes the changes in the usages of the NCT so as to capture the changes in its social roles and functions. First, the national analysis suggested that there were two layers of applicants: the core applicants whose number has rarely changed over the past 25 years and the new types of the applicants who utilized the NCT in different ways. Second, the ratio of applicants who took the NCT and universities to which they went were analyzed for each prefecture. In the results, regionally distinctive patterns indicated that the NCT was utilized differently in different regions. Furthermore, regionally predicted populations of 18-years-olds suggested that the admission system must be planned and future directions proposed from regional perspectives.</p>

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