METHOD FOR FUTURE PROJECTION OF CARGO HANDLING OPERATION RATE IN PORTS CONSIDERING CLIMATE CHANGE
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- SATO Noriyuki
- 北日本港湾コンサルタント(株)
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- HAYAKAWA Tetsuya
- 国土交通省北海道開発局港湾計画課
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- IWASAKI Shinsuke
- (国研)土木研究所寒地土木研究所
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- OTSUKA Junichi
- (国研)土木研究所寒地土木研究所
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- HIRANO Seiji
- (国研)土木研究所寒地土木研究所
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- HONDA Kazuhiko
- 国土交通省国土技術政策総合研究所
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- MORI Nobuhito
- 京都大学防災研究所
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- WATANABE Yasunori
- 北海道大学大学院工学研究院
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- KIMURA Katsutoshi
- 室蘭工業大学大学院工学研究科
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
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- 気候変動による港湾稼働率の将来変化推計手法
Abstract
<p> The ensemble wave climate projection dataset for the present and ~4K future warmer climate around Japan clarified the impact of climate change on the cargo handling operation rate in Hokkaido ports. The average rate of Tomakomai Port could increase with the decrease in wave height, and the Mombet-su Port’s rate could decrease because the fetch becomes longer with the decrease of the sea ice in the Okhotsk Sea. Furthermore, the ensemble climate dataset with a much longer data period than observa-tion one makes the probability analysis of the operation rate averrable. It is studied that the impact of climate change could vary by the target of the operation rate.</p>
Journal
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- Japanese Journal of JSCE
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Japanese Journal of JSCE 79 (17), n/a-, 2023
Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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Details 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390860929791847808
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- ISSN
- 24366021
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- Text Lang
- ja
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- Data Source
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- JaLC
- Crossref
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- Abstract License Flag
- Disallowed