卒業式や入学式等における新型コロナウイルスの感染リスク評価

DOI

書誌事項

タイトル別名
  • Infection Risk Assessment of COVID-19 at Graduation and Entrance Ceremonies

抄録

<p>With the purpose of evaluating the transmission risk of novel coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) and the effectiveness of countermeasures at school graduation and entrance ceremonies, this study examined various event conditions during an assumed ceremony attended by 865 participants, including singing, diploma conferment, and ceremonial address, and built an infection risk evaluation model that takes into account the effectiveness of countermeasures such as mask wearing during the ceremony. With the conditions assumed in this study, the average risk of infection per asymptomatic infected person attending a graduation ceremony was 4.0×10-5 (0.035 for a graduation ceremony attended by 865 people) when no preventive measures such as wearing a mask were taken. The average risk of infection per asymptomatically infected person attending an entrance ceremony with the same conditions mentioned above was 1.2×10-5 (0.010 for an entrance ceremony attended by 865 people) when no measures were taken, suggesting that the average risk of infection was higher at graduation ceremonies. In the graduation ceremony, the risk of infection when measures were taken to wear masks only during singing was 2.2×10-5 (0.019 for a graduation ceremony attended by 865 people), and the average risk of infection among participants was reduced by about 45% when non-woven masks were worn during singing. Although the risk of infection at graduation and entrance ceremonies is low even without any countermeasures, a combination of various countermeasures will be effective if the infection rate in the community increases.</p>

収録刊行物

  • リスク学研究

    リスク学研究 33 (4), 167-178, 2024-03-31

    一般社団法人 日本リスク学会

詳細情報 詳細情報について

  • CRID
    1390862623770045440
  • DOI
    10.11447/jjra.o-23-001
  • ISSN
    24358436
    24358428
  • 本文言語コード
    ja
  • データソース種別
    • JaLC
  • 抄録ライセンスフラグ
    使用不可

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