Decision Tree Analysis on Railway Vehicle Pre-evacuation from Flood Risk
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- OKUMURA Makoto
- 博士(工学) 東北大学災害科学国際研究所
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- MORIAI Kazuki
- 豊田通商株式会社
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
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- 浸水からの鉄道車両事前避難に関する決定木分析
Abstract
<p>By Makoto OKUMURA and Kazuki MORIAI</p><p>Due to Typhoon No. 19 in 2019, 120 cars were flooded and scrapped in the Nagano Train Depot of the Hokuriku Shinkansen. Railroad operators have since been studying vehicle pre-evacuation procedures. In this study, we used a decision tree to analyze the transition of the decision of operator over time. It was found that pre-evacuation should be carried out even for floods with small probability of damage either based on the social outcome or the profit of operators, and that pre-evacuation may not be approved when based on the users' payoff for early suspension and delay in resumption of service.</p>
Journal
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- Transport Policy Studies' Review
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Transport Policy Studies' Review 26 (0), 6-14, 2024-02-29
Japan Transport and Tourism Research Institute
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Details 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390862964499690752
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- ISSN
- 24337366
- 13443348
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- Text Lang
- ja
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- Data Source
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- JaLC
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- Abstract License Flag
- Disallowed