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- J. Hansen
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York 10025
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- G. Russell
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York 10025
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- A. Lacis
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York 10025
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- I. Fung
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York 10025
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- D. Rind
- NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York 10025
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- P. Stone
- Center for Meteorology and Physical Oceanography, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge 02139
書誌事項
- 公開日
- 1985-08-30
- DOI
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- 10.1126/science.229.4716.857
- 公開者
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
この論文をさがす
説明
<jats:p>The factors that determine climate response times were investigated with simple models and scaling statements. The response times are particularly sensitive to (i) the amount that the climate response is amplified by feedbacks and (ii) the representation of ocean mixing. If equilibrium climate sensitivity is 3°C or greater for a doubling of the carbon dioxide concentration, then most of the expected warming attributable to trace gases added to the atmosphere by man probably has not yet occurred. This yet to be realized warming calls into question a policy of "wait and see" regarding the issue of how to deal with increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide and other trace gases.</jats:p>
収録刊行物
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- Science
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Science 229 (4716), 857-859, 1985-08-30
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
