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- B. N. Goswami
- Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Doctor Homi Bhabha Road, Pashan, Pune 411 008, India.
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- V. Venugopal
- Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Doctor Homi Bhabha Road, Pashan, Pune 411 008, India.
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- D. Sengupta
- Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Doctor Homi Bhabha Road, Pashan, Pune 411 008, India.
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- M. S. Madhusoodanan
- Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Doctor Homi Bhabha Road, Pashan, Pune 411 008, India.
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- Prince K. Xavier
- Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Doctor Homi Bhabha Road, Pashan, Pune 411 008, India.
書誌事項
- 公開日
- 2006-12
- DOI
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- 10.1126/science.1132027
- 公開者
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
この論文をさがす
説明
<jats:p>Against a backdrop of rising global surface temperature, the stability of the Indian monsoon rainfall over the past century has been a puzzle. By using a daily rainfall data set, we show (i) significant rising trends in the frequency and the magnitude of extreme rain events and (ii) a significant decreasing trend in the frequency of moderate events over central India during the monsoon seasons from 1951 to 2000. The seasonal mean rainfall does not show a significant trend, because the contribution from increasing heavy events is offset by decreasing moderate events. A substantial increase in hazards related to heavy rain is expected over central India in the future.</jats:p>
収録刊行物
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- Science
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Science 314 (5804), 1442-1445, 2006-12
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
