気候変動対策を考慮したミャンマーの最適電源構成と国際連系線に関する評価:コスト最小化モデルを用いた定量分析

DOI
  • 碇井 良平
    (一財)日本エネルギー経済研究所 計量分析ユニット
  • 飯野 友美子
    元(一財)日本エネルギー経済研究所 戦略研究ユニット
  • 松尾 雄司
    立命館アジア太平洋大学 アジア太平洋学部 (一財)日本エネルギー経済研究所 計量分析ユニット

書誌事項

タイトル別名
  • Myanmar's Optimal Power Generation Mix and Grid Interconnection Considering Climate Policies: A Quantitative Analysis Using a Cost Minimization Model

抄録

In Myanmar, it is unclear how long the political turmoil caused by the military coup will last. However, one of the keys to sustainable economic development of the country and living standard improvement of the people continues to be tackling the increasing demand for electricity. This requires Myanmar’s government to construct an electricity supply system based on long-term planning and to consider the installation of international interconnection lines under the situation where many countries is starting to go forward to decarbonization. Therefore, this paper illustrates the preferable energy mix for Myanmar in 2050 from the perspective of the 3Es (economic efficiency, environmental sustainability and energy security) in multiple scenarios, setting different carbon prices and hydropower potentials for Myanmar. In conclusion, Myanmar should strongly promote hydropower development, including large-scale power plants, which will contribute to ensuring the 3Es, and also promote the development of international interconnection lines with neighboring Thailand, which will improve the fiscal revenue from the electricity export.

収録刊行物

詳細情報 詳細情報について

  • CRID
    1390011926279215744
  • DOI
    10.24778/jjser.43.5_186
  • ISSN
    24330531
  • 本文言語コード
    ja
  • データソース種別
    • JaLC
  • 抄録ライセンスフラグ
    使用不可

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