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STUDY ON COMPARISON OF DEMAND FORECAST RESULTS AND ACTUAL USAGE OF THE UTSUNOMIYA LIGHT RAIL
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- TOMIOKA Hidetora
- 早稲田大学創造理工学研究科建設工学専攻
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- MORIMOTO Akinori
- 早稲田大学 理工学術院
Bibliographic Information
- Other Title
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- 宇都宮LRTの需要予測結果と利用実態の比較に関する研究
Description
<p> Utsunomiya Light Rail was introduced as the first all-new LRT line in Japan against a background of demand for a sustainable city. Since the Utsunomiya Light Rail was introduced in a city where no streetcars had existed before, demand was estimated using the four-stage estimation method based on the existing public transportation usage. However, the actual number of users has exceeded the projection, so there is a large possibility that there is a demand that was not considered in the existing estimation.</p><p> Therefore, the purpose of this study is to analyze the differences in usage characteristics between LRT and existing means of transportation by reproducing the demand forecasting method used at the time of planning and comparing it with actual usage conditions, in order to help forecast LRT demand in the future. Comparison of demand forecasts and actual usage showed that the demand estimates were highly accurate and the demand for personal use greatly exceeded the forecasts. The reasons for this are assumed to be the increase in the population along the LRT line and the development of commercial facilities integrated with the LRT.</p>
Journal
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- Japanese Journal of JSCE
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Japanese Journal of JSCE 81 (5), n/a-, 2025
Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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Details 詳細情報について
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- CRID
- 1390304328101513088
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- ISSN
- 24366021
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- Text Lang
- ja
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- Data Source
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- JaLC
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- Abstract License Flag
- Disallowed